Bournemouthvs
Everton
SCHEDULEDEngland · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bournemouth · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bournemouth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Everton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.0 against 45.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Premier League, while Bournemouth holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bournemouth
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
14.0%
Bournemouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40