Botev Plovdivvs
Slavia Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botev Plovdiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Botev Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
Original prediction
Botev Plovdiv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.5% | 42.6% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.4% | 30.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.11 | 18.1% | 27.0% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Projected Score
Botev Plovdiv 0–0 Slavia Sofia
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Botev Plovdiv
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00