Arda Kardzhalivs
Levski Sofia
SCHEDULEDBulgaria · First League · 10/27/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.68 | 16.2% | 17.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.2% | 23.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Levski Sofia
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arda KardzhaliWLLDL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Levski SofiaWWDWL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia
45.5Attack76.7
48.5Defence86.7
51.5Form93.3
49.8Power85.0
0.66xG2.33