Botafogovs
RB Bragantino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo 1-1 RB Bragantino
Original prediction
Botafogo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 40.3% | 36.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.6% | 27.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 32.0% | 36.1% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BotafogoDLLWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoLLWDD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BotafogoRB Bragantino
49.3Attack41.3
46.7Defence62.7
41.3Form46.7
47.2Power51.7
1.17xG1.22