Boston Rivervs
Progreso
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boston River · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boston River 0-0 Progreso, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boston River 1-2 Progreso
Original prediction
Boston River
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.2% | 47.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.0% | 29.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.8% | 22.4% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Boston River 0–0 Progreso
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Boston River
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Boston River has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Boston RiverLWLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ProgresoLLWLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverProgreso
32.1Attack25.0
54.8Defence51.2
35.7Form26.2
42.9Power37.3
1.02xG0.61