Boston Rivervs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventud · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boston River 0-0 Juventud, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boston River 0-0 Juventud
Original prediction
Juventud
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 32.8% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.8% | 29.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.6% | 37.5% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Boston River 0–0 Juventud
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Juventud
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Juventud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Boston RiverLWLLW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JuventudDWWDD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boston RiverJuventud
32.2Attack38.9
53.3Defence56.7
33.3Form40.0
41.7Power47.3
0.88xG1.01