Boston Rivervs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boston River · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boston River 0-0 Cerro, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boston River 1-1 Cerro
Original prediction
Boston River
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.5% | 49.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.3% | 29.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.2% | 21.0% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Boston River 0–0 Cerro
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Boston River
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Boston River has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Boston RiverWDWLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CerroLWWLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Boston RiverCerro
32.0Attack22.7
56.0Defence48.0
38.7Form33.3
44.2Power37.8
1.09xG0.59