Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bologna 1-3 Inter
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.59 | 17.0% | 21.4% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 23.1% | 24.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 60.0% | 54.4% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BolognaWDLDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
InterLWWDW
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BolognaInter
27.8Attack100.0
61.1Defence55.6
27.8Form88.9
41.8Power82.2
0.92xG1.70