Boca Juniors Res.vs
Ferro 2
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boca Juniors Res. 2-0 Ferro 2, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boca Juniors Res. 1-0 Ferro 2
Original prediction
Boca Juniors Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.0% | 54.8% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.5% | 25.0% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 6.68 | 13.5% | 20.2% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Projected Score
Boca Juniors Res. 2–0 Ferro 2
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors Res.
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Boca Juniors Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00