GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blackburn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Blackburn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sheffield Utd are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheffield Utd hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the League Cup, while Blackburn holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blackburn

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

11.1%

Blackburn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlackburnWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sheffield UtdWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BlackburnSheffield Utd
100.0Attack100.0
41.7Defence100.0
75.0Form100.0
68.1Power97.0
1.71xG1.62
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