Blackburnvs
Sheffield Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackburn · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackburn 1-2 Sheffield Utd
Original prediction
Blackburn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 31.6% | 37.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.8% | 27.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 40.6% | 34.9% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Blackburn
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Blackburn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60