Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackburn · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Blackburn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while QPR are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 46.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Championship, while Blackburn holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackburn
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
14.3%
Blackburn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20