Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackburn · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackburn 1-2 QPR
Original prediction
Blackburn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.9% | 38.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.5% | 28.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 32.7% | 33.7% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Blackburn
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Blackburn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BlackburnLWDWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
QPRDWDWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BlackburnQPR
66.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence83.3
66.7Form66.7
64.8Power68.0
1.40xG1.26