Birminghamvs
Bristol City
SCHEDULEDEngland · Championship · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Birmingham are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bristol City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Championship, while Bristol City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bristol City
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
17.1%
Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80