BirminghamvsBrentford

Birmingham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brentford are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the League Cup, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.