Birminghamvs
Brentford
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brentford · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birmingham 1-6 Brentford
Original prediction
Brentford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Brentford
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Brentford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BirminghamDDWDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrentfordWWWDD
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BirminghamBrentford
50.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form16.7
51.0Power36.5
1.53xG1.13