Biellesevs
Alessandria
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/7/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Biellese · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Biellese 3-2 Alessandria
Original prediction
Biellese
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.4% | 38.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.7% | 32.3% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Biellese
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Biellese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40