Besëlidhja Lezhëvs
Kastrioti Krujë
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Besëlidhja Lezhë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Besëlidhja Lezhë 4-1 Kastrioti Krujë
Original prediction
Besëlidhja Lezhë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 40.5% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 28.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 31.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Besëlidhja Lezhë
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Besëlidhja Lezhë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20