Besa Kavajëvs
Korabi Peshkopi
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Besa Kavajë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Besa Kavajë 2-0 Korabi Peshkopi
Original prediction
Besa Kavajë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.7% | 45.6% | -22.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.0% | 26.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 7.97 | 11.3% | 27.7% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Besa Kavajë
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Besa Kavajë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60