Berwick Rangersvs
Queen of the South
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Queen of the South · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Berwick Rangers 1-0 Queen of the South
Original prediction
Queen of the South
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.46 | 14.1% | 21.1% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 17.7% | 20.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 68.3% | 59.0% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Queen of the South
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Queen of the South has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00