Berwick Rangersvs
Hibernian U21
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berwick Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Berwick Rangers 1-0 Hibernian U21
Original prediction
Berwick Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.3% | 47.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.3% | 24.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.4% | 28.9% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Berwick Rangers
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Berwick Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00