Beroevs
Sportist Svoge
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beroe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Beroe 0-0 Sportist Svoge, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Beroe 1-0 Sportist Svoge
Original prediction
Beroe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.1% | 43.3% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.4% | 31.5% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 5.12 | 17.5% | 25.2% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Projected Score
Beroe 0–0 Sportist Svoge
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Beroe
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Beroe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeroeDDDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sportist SvogeDLDLL
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BeroeSportist Svoge
45.8Attack16.7
66.7Defence75.0
50.0Form29.2
55.1Power43.3
0.88xG0.54