Beroevs
Rilski Sportist
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 10/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beroe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Beroe 0-0 Rilski Sportist, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Beroe 3-1 Rilski Sportist
Original prediction
Beroe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.6% | 39.1% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 29.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 19.9% | 31.3% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Projected Score
Beroe 0–0 Rilski Sportist
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Beroe
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Beroe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeroeLLWWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rilski SportistLDWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BeroeRilski Sportist
50.0Attack38.9
58.3Defence72.2
50.0Form52.8
54.4Power56.8
0.89xG0.89