Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BenficaLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AlvercaWWLDL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BenficaAlverca
100.0Attack42.9
66.7Defence47.6
76.2Form38.1
76.8Power45.1
2.49xG0.83