Benfica Castelo Brancovs
Naval 1893
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 8/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica Castelo Branco · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benfica Castelo Branco 1-4 Naval 1893
Original prediction
Benfica Castelo Branco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Benfica Castelo Branco
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Benfica Castelo Branco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00