Benfica Castelo Brancovs
AD Nogueirense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica Castelo Branco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benfica Castelo Branco 2-3 AD Nogueirense
Original prediction
Benfica Castelo Branco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Benfica Castelo Branco
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Benfica Castelo Branco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67