Beneventovs
Vicenza Virtus
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benevento · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benevento 2-2 Vicenza Virtus
Original prediction
Benevento
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 46.4% | 56.6% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.0% | 23.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.6% | 19.8% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Benevento
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Benevento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00