Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benevento · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benevento 1-2 Modena
Original prediction
Benevento
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Benevento
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Benevento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeneventoLWDWW
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ModenaLDWLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BeneventoModena
50.0Attack36.0
50.0Defence58.8
50.0Form41.2
50.0Power47.6
1.23xG0.89