Beneventovs
Hellas Verona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benevento · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benevento 3-1 Hellas Verona
Original prediction
Benevento
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.7% | 36.7% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.6% | 29.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 37.7% | 34.2% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Benevento
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Benevento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20