Belgrano Córdoba Res.vs
Deportivo Riestra Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Riestra Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belgrano Córdoba Res. 2-1 Deportivo Riestra Res.
Original prediction
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.0% | 34.4% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.6% | 37.2% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Deportivo Riestra Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00