Barracas Central Res.vs
Atlético Tucumán Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barracas Central Res. 0-0 Atlético Tucumán Res., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barracas Central Res. 1-1 Atlético Tucumán Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.1% | 31.7% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.3% | 31.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 33.6% | 36.9% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Barracas Central Res. 0–0 Atlético Tucumán Res.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80