Barnetvs
Fleetwood Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnet · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barnet 3-1 Fleetwood Town
Original prediction
Barnet
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.5% | 47.5% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.7% | 25.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 19.9% | 27.2% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Barnet
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Barnet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarnetWDWDD
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Fleetwood TownWDWDD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BarnetFleetwood Town
77.8Attack38.9
50.0Defence77.8
66.7Form55.6
66.8Power59.9
1.49xG1.11