Barnetvs
Cheltenham
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barnet 2-2 Cheltenham
Original prediction
Barnet
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.8% | 50.2% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.9% | 25.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.35 | 17.3% | 23.9% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Barnet
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Barnet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarnetWWLDD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CheltenhamLWLLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BarnetCheltenham
100.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
91.7Power53.0
1.81xG1.02