Barnetvs
Accrington ST
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barnet 2-1 Accrington ST
Original prediction
Barnet
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 63.7% | 49.9% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 21.3% | 25.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 6.17 | 15.0% | 24.7% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Barnet
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Barnet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarnetDWDDW
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Accrington STWDLLD
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BarnetAccrington ST
80.0Attack60.0
46.7Defence26.7
60.0Form33.3
63.7Power43.0
2.60xG1.39