Barcelona Wvs
Paris FC W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 4-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona W 5-2 Paris FC W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 92.4% | 87.4% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 15.32 | 6.1% | 8.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 64.43 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
87.4%
Model confidence
87.4%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 23 · GA 2 · avg 4.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40