GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forfar Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Banks O' Dee 1-1 Forfar Athletic

Original prediction

Forfar Athletic

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6634.0%35.4%1.4 pts
Draw3.5525.4%26.0%0.6 pts
Away2.2340.6%38.6%-2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Forfar Athletic

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Forfar Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Banks O' DeeWWLDW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Forfar AthleticLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Banks O' DeeForfar Athletic
16.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
14.2Power26.2
1.64xG1.72
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