GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aberdeen U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Banks O' Dee 2-1 Aberdeen U21

Original prediction

Aberdeen U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.7524.1%23.6%-0.5 pts
Draw4.1721.7%22.1%0.5 pts
Away1.6754.2%54.3%0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–29%
  2. 2.1–38%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Aberdeen U21

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Aberdeen U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Banks O' DeeLWDDW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aberdeen U21WDWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Banks O' DeeAberdeen U21
22.2Attack88.9
0.0Defence55.6
11.1Form77.8
16.2Power74.7
1.35xG2.68
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