Baník Soušvs
Varnsdorf
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baník Souš · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Souš 1-0 Varnsdorf
Original prediction
Baník Souš
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.7% | 43.0% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.3% | 24.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.0% | 32.9% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Baník Souš
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Baník Souš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00