Bahiavs
Internacional
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bahia 1-0 Internacional, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bahia 3-2 Internacional
Original prediction
Bahia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 49.3% | 50.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 24.1% | 21.9% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Bahia 1–0 Internacional
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Bahia
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BahiaWDDDD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
InternacionalDDDDL
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BahiaInternacional
47.2Attack33.3
61.1Defence61.1
51.4Form34.7
55.0Power44.9
1.22xG0.69