GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bahia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Bahia are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Internacional are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.8% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bahia

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

16.8%

Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BahiaDDDDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
InternacionalDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BahiaInternacional
43.9Attack34.8
62.1Defence59.1
50.0Form34.8
53.9Power44.8
1.19xG0.70
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