Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Twente W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AZ W 0-5 Twente W
Original prediction
Twente W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Twente W
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Twente W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AZ WLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Twente WWWWWW
GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
AZ WTwente W
60.0Attack100.0
46.7Defence80.0
80.0Form100.0
64.4Power91.8
1.43xG2.26