Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 05:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–39%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
73.1%
Model confidence
73.1%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AZ WLLLWW
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ajax WWLWWW
GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AZ WAjax W
42.9Attack95.2
23.8Defence71.4
57.1Form85.7
44.2Power81.2
1.00xG3.31