Avellinovs
Vicenza Virtus
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avellino 3-0 Vicenza Virtus
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.9% | 34.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.5% | 29.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.6% | 35.7% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.8%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AvellinoLLDLW
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vicenza VirtusWDDWD
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AvellinoVicenza Virtus
36.8Attack50.0
50.4Defence50.0
41.9Form50.0
45.3Power50.0
1.07xG1.26