Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avellino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avellino 1-2 Arezzo
Original prediction
Avellino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Avellino
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Avellino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AvellinoLDLWW
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ArezzoLWDLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AvellinoArezzo
36.8Attack50.0
50.4Defence50.0
41.9Form50.0
45.3Power50.0
1.07xG1.26