Austinvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austin 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.69 | 20.0% | 13.2% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.9% | 16.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 58.1% | 70.0% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40