Austinvs
Philadelphia Union
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austin 1-1 Philadelphia Union
Original prediction
Philadelphia Union
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Philadelphia Union
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AustinWLDWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia UnionDWLWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AustinPhiladelphia Union
41.7Attack50.0
35.0Defence38.3
33.3Form33.3
38.7Power43.2
1.65xG1.81