Austinvs
Philadelphia Union
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Austin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and philadelphia Union hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Major League Soccer, favouring Philadelphia Union with 11.1% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Philadelphia Union
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
11.1%
Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00