Austinvs
Colorado Rapids
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/10/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austin 1-1 Colorado Rapids
Original prediction
Colorado Rapids
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 37.8% | 31.9% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.4% | 24.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.8% | 43.5% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20