Atlético Tucumán Res.vs
Rosario Central Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tucumán Res. 0-1 Rosario Central Res.
Original prediction
Rosario Central Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.2% | 32.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.1% | 29.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 39.7% | 37.9% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central Res.
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60