Atletico Torquevs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 3-1 Liverpool Montevideo
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 32.0% | 37.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.6% | 29.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.3% | 33.6% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40