Atletico Torquevs
Deportivo Maldonado
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 0-2 Deportivo Maldonado
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.1% | 40.7% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 27.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.1% | 31.4% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60