Atletico Torquevs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Torque 1-0 Danubio, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 1-0 Danubio
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.6% | 58.9% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.3% | 24.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 23.1% | 16.6% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00