Atletico Torquevs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/1/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 2-0 Danubio
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.5% | 41.3% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 26.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.2% | 31.9% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80