Atletico Torquevs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Torque 1-0 Cerro Largo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 2-1 Cerro Largo
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.1% | 55.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 26.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.67 | 16.2% | 18.8% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro Largo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40